Subject: Re: Another possible screen
Here is a backtest of the screen which buys the top 20 stocks of the S&P 500 and holds for one year. VFINX is the S&P 500 index fund. BRK is also shown for comparison.
In all three time periods, this screen beat the S&P500.
Starting with $1000 on Jan 1 of start year thru Dec 31 of end year.
1990 thru 2024
Top 20 VFINX BRK-A
CAGR 12.8% 10.6% 13.3%
Final $67,476 $33,748 $78,492
Max DD -36% -38% -32%
Sortino 1.08 0.80 1.16
1990 thru 2006
Top 20 VFINX BRK-A
CAGR 14.6% 10.9% 16.1%
Final $10,217 $5,834 $12,679
Max DD -29% -38% -23%
Sortino 0.59 0.28 0.53
2007 thru 2024
Top 20 VFINX BRK-A
CAGR 11.1% 10.2% 10.7%
Final $6,604 $5,784 $6,191
Max DD -36% -37% -32%
Sortino 0.23 0.20 0.26