Subject: Re: For the debate
With the current SCOTUS, talking gun control is not productive.

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With the current SCOTUS, talking abortion is not as productive as one might first think. I mentioned this during the DNC. There is no way a federal law will be passed re-instating abortion rights in all 50 states even if Harris wins the Presidency and the Democrats win both the House and Senate. Why?

1) It will still require 60% control of the Senate to block a filibuster of 
   any proposed abortion rights bill.
2) Even if Democrates win 60% control of the Senate, any law passed and signed
   will be IMMEDIATELY appealed through the courts all the way to the SCOTUS
   whose 6-3 fringe conservative majority will overturn the law as unconstitutional.
3) Overcoming THAT barrier will require either:
   a) packing the court by adding at least four new justices
   b) a constitutional amendment which requires 
     i) a 2/3rds vote in the House and Senate to initiate OR
     ii) 2/3rds of state legislatures to initiate
     iii) 3/4ths of states to approve (38 of 50)

And remember, option (3a) would also require control of 60% of the Senate otherwise Republicans will just filibuster every SCOTUS nominee and refuse to fill the new seats.

Politicians and the public have utterly failed to grasp or explain how far back the Dobbs rulling set abortion rights in the country. If abortion comes up in the debate, THIS is the point that Harris needs to make in order to promote not only turnout to vote for her, but unprecedented turnout to vote for Democrates up and down the ballot in races not even thought to be contested right now. Otherwise, nothing will change at the national level with abortion rights and the related reproductive care calamity Dobbs has created. NOTHING.

WTH