Subject: Re: Iran - The Difference in Assessment
Because again, the new info is that they do in fact have enough material to start making nukes. And after that, hanging it on a ballistic missile.

But that wasn't the question. The question was, "why will they pose any less of a danger to restart and rebuild their nuclear program once we stop actually bombing them?"

In other words, if they have enough material to start making nukes, and existing technology transfer controls weren't sufficient to stop them from turning that material into nukes two weeks ago before the bombing, what's going to stop them from turning that material into nukes ____ weeks from now when we stop bombing?

The same question is true of Iran's ballistic missiles. They were able to rebuild their ballistic missile inventory almost entirely within about months after the 12 Day War. We've destroyed their ballistic missile factories, but there's nothing that will prevent them from rebuilding the factories - and thereafter rebuilding the missiles - once this war is over.


This isn't me being argumentative. I genuinely don't understand the reasoning. A few months ago, we had destroyed their equipment, leaving them with only whatever material they had previously refined. So if Iran was in a position to restart their nuclear program and advance quickly to a weapon then, why won't they be able to do so in a few weeks or months from now?