Subject: Re: Protecting the Downside
“Based on historical data from 1926 to 2023, the S&P 500 had a positive return over 5-year rolling intervals approximately 93.62% of the time.”

Even though a S&P index does Not dominate my portfolio, I like the probabilities of U.S. equities appreciating over the moderate-long-run & we can roll with some short-term gut punches.


Ken Fisher recently had a youtube video "Is Now a Good Time to Invest in Stocks?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

Key point that he and others have made for a long time:
"the fact is, in the long term, stocks tend to rise—and they tend to rise about two out of three time periods, regardless of what kind of time period you pick, whether it's days, quarters, years, five-year periods—they tend to rise a lot more than they fall.
So, therefore, the odds are that it's an okay time to invest."