Subject: Re: Trump To Surrender, Declare Victory?
By virtue of the fact that Homan seems to have kept his mouth shut, while Noen and Bovino kept pushing a narrative that was starkly at odds with the video?

It also may mean a shift in who has the upper hand in the internal disagreements within the Administration, between Homan's position and the Miller/Noem position.

Homan has generally been understood to favor hardline immigration against people who have committed serious crimes. His preferred approach is for ICE/CBP to really concentrate resources on identifying the portion of the population here illegally, and going after them. You know, "the worst of the worst." The metric of success for that approach is how many dangerous criminals get removed.

Stephen Miller and Kristi Noem, however, generally want ICE/CBP to go after everyone, without putting much emphasis on differentiating between the folks who have committed no crime (or whose crimes are either related to illegal entry or are relatively minor) and the "worst of the worst." The metric for success for that approach is how many people are removed, whether dangerous criminals or not. You also want to make sure everyone knows that you're not prioritizing dangerous and violent people. If people here illegally think you're prioritizing dangerous and violent people, most of them will feel that since they are not dangerous or violent that they can go on with their lives, rather than flee the country.

Because they have different goals, the two camps also have different approaches to tactics. The Homan camp can most effectively achieve their goals by doing what we might call "old fashioned" arrest/detention techniques. You identify when the target is likely to be away from other people, preferably in the very early hours of the morning, to minimize friction in taking them in. You don't need it - and probably don't want it - to be dramatic.

The Miller/Noem camp, though, benefits by doing things differently. You want friction. You want to seize people everywhere, at any time, especially in places where there are lots of other people around. You want not just to deport the people you grab, but you want as many people as possible to get scared and leave U.S. in fear. You want stories of how horrible it is, and how anyone can be taken at any time with no warning - so that all the people who aren't dangerous or violent get the message that ICE/CBP will treat them exactly the same as dangerous or violent people, and they will leave in fear.


As you can see, the "get everyone as dramatically as possible" approach has been the main one so far. So, if Homan is being sent to take charge of Minnesota, it might be a signal that Trump now believes that Miller and Noem's approach is hurting him politically, and is willing to shift gears.