Subject: Risk-off Signal
Got a "sell" or risk-off indication this afternoon for the S&P 500 (/es), S&P 400 (/emd), NASDAQ100 (/nq) and the same on Dow Jones Industrial Average (/ym) two days ago (2/7). (ym) sustained a loss. As the strategy calls for utilizing these indexes as separate entities, the substantial gains in /es, /emd and /nq far surpassed the loss on /ym. /emd and /nq performed the best during this bull run contrary to what might have been guessed with the prospect of earnings shortfalls and the impact of higher interest rates. The signal infers a transition to cash rather than to adopt a short posture.