Subject: Re: Senate Border Bill Details...
So it looks like the authority gets sunsetted out. So we'd have to hope for a bipartisan effort for it to remain if we still have a problem, and I think we will still have a problem. I think if it's working, you can count on enough bipartisan support. - Lapsody

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Lets look at the math of a closed border

The compassionate sounding minimum is 1,400 / day or 511,000 per year.... But that minimum only applies when the mislabeled shutdown is in effect. There will be even more migrants on non shut down days. Non shutdown days are by law 25% of the days in year 1, and rise to half the days in year 3.

As long as there is a steady supply, it seems we will average that 5,000 every day except for brief periods of freeze where the daily average will be 1,400. The 5,000 equates to 1,825,000 per year, the 1,400 equates to 511,000, so the estimated actual will be between these two, lets say is 1,500,000 per year. Add to that the families and minors traveling alone who can't be detained, plus anyone caught coming in between POE's must be given an interview if they claim emergency. This loophole harks back to Dopes point about the illegals being coached about what to say.

Add all these factors up and it appears that this border security bill will enshrine into law at least 1,500,000 per year even with a cooperative DHS secretary who declares lots of shutdowns. And 1.5M is guaranteed to go up when the DHS secretary loses his shut down authority after three years. On top of this, are 250,000 more visas, special programs for afghans, and we are looking at around a 2,000,000 minimum.

Toss in guarantees for chain migration, lack of earlier rumored provisions clamping down on visa overstays, and the BIG ONE - this whole thing expires in three year, which will be almost impossible to extend due to the 60 vote rule in the Senate.

Odd little clause on page 6
Requires the Department of Homeland Security to ensure alternative and cost-benefit analyses are conducted prior to requesting assistance for border operations from the Department of Defense.

Another on page 14
Provides that individuals granted conditional permanent resident status and their child or spouse who is the beneficiary of an immigrant petition under Sec. 204 of the Immigration and Nationality Act are exempt from numerical limitations under Sec. 201, 202, and 203 of the Immigration and Nationality Act

Page 6 - could this mean that no wall construction will be allowed
Provides a breakout of the type of border security technology that may be acquired with the funds provided in this Act and includes other requirements for those funds....

Rescinds and reappropriates remaining border barrier balances for the same purpose with
additional specifications on type of barrier.

It is becoming harder and harder to support this bill now that the details are becoming available. I suppose some revisions to the bill could still happen, there needs to be. And there are likely other provisions and consequences, good or bad, that have not been exposed yet.