Subject: Re: Do You Really Think???
1. Gerimandering a victory. I doubt that will work but it will tilt.

2. Voter suppression. Still not enough but another tilt.

3. Sending federal agents into key congressional districts on Election Day to suppress or cancel the vote. Whatcha gonna do?

4. If it all seems to be failing before the election, manufacture a major crisis, declare an insurgency and invoke the insurrection act. The Supreme Court will give it the nod, and the election will be postponed indefinitely.

5. If all this fails, declare another emergency and physically prevent the new Congress from being sworn in January 2027.

All these things are illegal, and they are all possible, even probable.

Gerrymandering is not illegal. Many things that we might regard as "voter suppression" are not illegal (indeed, many things we all accept as part of the voting process end up having some suppressive effect, but we think it's okay relative to the benefits). Outside of legal measures that suppress the vote (like passing a statute requiring voter ID, for example), the effect of voter suppressive measures that might be possibly illegal is going to be limited. You can send some armed "election monitors" to stand in the parking lot of some voting districts....but even in close races, nearly all of them are decided by more than several thousand votes, and those types of little measures aren't likely to swing the results.

I do not believe that the Administration has any incentive to do 3, 4, or 5. I don't think they're really within the realm of possibility, and absolutely not probable. Losing the House just isn't that large a loss to make any of the above worth trying - it's not worth risking the 2028 election by doing something that far outside the norm.