Subject: Haley's endorsement alternate interpretation
From https://x.com/OurShallowState/...
The Shallow State @OurShallowState
I wanted to comment on the Nikki Haley announcement, because I think there's a perspective to it that people aren't considering.
When these politicians on the Right do this, everyone comments about them wanting to be his VP. Everyone comments about their cowardice, ambition, and cravenness. Yes, ambition is the core motivator. But I think there's underlying calculations being made here that bear mentioning.
A lot of these people, Haley and her aides included, are assigning percentages that they don't want to talk about - Trump is fragile. He could go to prison, he could stroke out, he could continue to lose cognition, he could shoot himself in the foot in any number of ways and lose support, something new about him could break, he could even decide to flee - and this impacts the calculus.
They badly want to be in the game, not only now, but especially after he's gone. My point is, yes - it's craven - but it's not borne of Trump's strength, it's borne from the true math - the math that's underlying his weaknesses.