Subject: Modern Family EOM May-2025
Name SP500 R1000EW R1000 R2000 Transportation Retail Regional Bank BioTech SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) SPY EQAL IWB IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 30-May-25 30-May-25 30-May-25 30-May-25 30-May-25 30-May-25 30-May-25 30-May-25 30-May-25
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish BEARish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 07-May-25 14-May-25 07-May-25 14-May-25 14-May-25 08-May-25 08-May-25 14-Mar-25 08-May-25
Since_ChgD 23 16 23 16 16 22 22 77 22
Confirmed Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Yes Not Yet
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Status_MAC(50) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Resistance Support
ROC(50-DMA) -7.3% -7.3% -7.6% -11.7% -11.9% -10.1% -12.7% -11.3% -12.5%
Status_MAC(200) Support Resistance Support Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Support
ROC(200-DMA) 15.0% 10.2% 15.0% 9.5% 3.7% 4.7% 23.1% 1.7% 12.2%
DMAC(50,200) -3.2% -4.0% -3.2% -8.5% -7.1% -7.2% -6.6% -9.7% -8.1%
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LastD_Price 589.36 47.70 324.08 205.09 65.39 75.93 56.88 121.72 239.75
50-DMA 558.75 46.33 306.79 197.64 62.94 70.25 55.18 122.70 218.22
200-DMA 576.96 48.27 317.02 215.94 67.79 75.66 59.07 135.91 237.49
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# Signals /Yr 2 2 2 4 7 4 2 3 6
# BuyD /Yr 219 199 218 176 151 202 203 151 190
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 33 53 34 76 101 50 49 101 62
% BuyD /Yr 87% 79% 87% 70% 60% 80% 81% 60% 75%
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52wL(Daily) 496.48 41.38 272.36 174.82 55.22 62.11 46.12 112.02 179.95
52wH(Daily) 612.93 51.95 337.54 242.40 75.40 84.31 68.90 149.47 281.27
% Off_52wH 4% 9% 4% 18% 15% 11% 21% 23% 17%
LastD_52wH 19-Feb-25 29-Nov-24 19-Feb-25 25-Nov-24 25-Nov-24 11-Dec-24 25-Nov-24 19-Sep-24 10-Jul-24
SinceD_52wH 100 182 100 186 186 170 186 253 324
CountD_52wH 37 22 39 9 5 6 11 7 8
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The "Economic Modern Family" is a combination of three market index ETF's and five varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases - Rev 27-Sep-2024 Intermediate-Term 50-DMA and/or 200-DMA.
"BEARish" - phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
"Bullish" - phase when NOT "BEARish".
"Support" - is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
"Resistance" - is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
"Confirmed" - when Status_MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal_Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
Criteria that Refute - Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description - After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
Source of Data - Price data for Symbols in Modern Family are exported from real time charts to .CSV files after market close.
FYI: Historic - Ten year average 52wH/Yr count for .SPx, MDY, & IJH was 34, 20 & 16 as of 27-Sep-2024.
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