Subject: Re: Winning Looks a Lot Like Losing...
And we’re not likely to. Forcing open the strait almost certainly would require large numbers of ground troops. Iran is aiming to charge a toll on the strait. That means short range missiles and drones, not mines; which means land forces on the coast, not naval forces. And I just can’t see Trump willing to put boots on the ground like that. He might be willing to restart the air war if the ceasefire really falls apart, but not ground forces to seize the coastal areas to secure them against mobile missiles and drones.

The most likely scenario is the seizing of Kharg island which will have ramifications on Iran's oil exports (which would drop to zero). Iran's partners won't like that either.