Subject: ModernFamily EOM Nov-2025
Name SP500 R200 R800 R2000 Transportation Retail Regional Bank BioTech SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) SPY IWL IWR IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 28-Nov-25 28-Nov-25 28-Nov-25 28-Nov-25 28-Nov-25 28-Nov-25 28-Nov-25 28-Nov-25 28-Nov-25
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish BEARish Bullish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 07-May-25 07-May-25 08-May-25 14-May-25 14-May-25 08-May-25 17-Nov-25 28-Jul-25 08-May-25
Since_ChgD 205 205 204 198 198 204 11 123 204
Confirmed Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Yes Yes Yes
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Status_MAC(50) Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Support Support
ROC(50-DMA) 5.1% 5.9% 1.3% 7.3% 1.8% 0.4% -2.0% 14.2% 18.2%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(200-DMA) 8.4% 9.4% 5.2% 0.1% 0.0% 1.8% 4.6% -6.4% 11.3%
DMAC(50,200) 8.8% 9.7% 5.0% 10.3% 4.8% 6.9% 3.3% 13.8% 23.9%
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LastD_Price 683.39 170.82 96.95 248.75 72.98 84.35 62.99 173.83 352.28
50-DMA 670.18 167.48 95.73 243.14 71.38 83.38 61.70 155.26 341.56
200-DMA 615.70 152.64 91.17 220.36 68.13 78.02 59.74 136.44 275.74
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# Signals /Yr 2 2 2 2 4 2 3 5 4
# BuyD /Yr 219 221 203 191 194 206 195 123 201
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 33 31 49 61 58 46 57 129 51
% BuyD /Yr 87% 88% 81% 76% 77% 82% 77% 49% 80%
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52wL(Daily) 496.48 122.36 74.88 174.82 55.22 62.11 48.81 112.02 179.95
52wH(Daily) 687.39 172.47 97.61 250.33 75.40 88.49 68.90 173.83 368.61
% Off_52wH 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 3.3% 4.9% 9.4% NH 4.6%
LastD_52wH 29-Oct-25 29-Oct-25 27-Oct-25 15-Oct-25 25-Nov-24 18-Sep-25 25-Nov-24 28-Nov-25 29-Oct-25
SinceD_52wH 30 30 32 44 368 71 368 0 30
CountD_52wH 43 47 8 6 1 10 1 20 27
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The "Economic Modern Family" is a combination of three market index ETF's and five varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases - Rev 27-Sep-2024 Intermediate-Term 50-DMA and/or 200-DMA.
"BEARish" - phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
"Bullish" - phase when NOT "BEARish".
"Support" - is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
"Resistance" - is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
"Confirmed" - when Status_MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal_Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
Criteria that Refute - Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description - After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
Source of Data - Data for Symbols are from the StockHistory() function .
FYI: Historic - Ten year average 52wH/Yr count for .SPx, MDY, & IJH was 34, 20 & 16 as of 27-Sep-2024.
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