Subject: Re: Iran - The Difference in Assessment
It's just my opinion. But I like to think that I've made a serious effort to explain why I hold that opinion, and the defects in the contrary argument.

Sure. And I've laid out my opinion already.

Do you believe we can go past 5-6 weeks of the Straits being closed without having a serious global economic consequence?

Why do you say the straits will be closed for 5-6 weeks? They're not closed at the moment; ships are turning off their transponders and making the run for it plus the Saudis are upping their pipeline throughput.