Subject: Good Summary: US v Iran
Ten Things That Are Clear

No one can accurately assess what Trump is likely to do, but he does want an off-ramp.

Iran wants to inflict as much damage on Trump as it can.

No one knows how much pressure either side can deal with, but Iran’s pain tolerance is very high.

Iran does not have elections to worry about, Trump does.

Rising global costs are permanent.

Upward pressure on inflation continues.

Infrastructure damage will take years to repair.

US consumers and businesses are extremely unhappy about this war.

US allies are also extremely unhappy and they are more willing to directly challenge Trump.

The Mideast balance of power is shifting away from the US, not in a surge, but in drips. Mideast allies now understand the US military shield is not invincible.

Mideast allies have dollar funding issues. Their pain is growing along with Iran’s.

One result of those ten things is Republicans rate to get smashed in the Midterm elections.
That reality is likely to make Trump even more demanding and erratic

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