Subject: Re: Vance Failed. No Deal.
Good analysis here:
When the history of this war is written, it will be recorded that the regime’s decision to close the strait was a colossal miscalculation that relied too heavily on short term consequences (a hike in the price of oil, coupled with the belief that nations would unite against us rather than them). In chess, there is a famous quote to the effect that the threat is always stronger than the execution. Here, the threat to close the strait was stronger, especially with Trump and with countries in Europe and the Far East. The decision to close the strait was never going to work as long as we refused to budge. And it has greatly weakened Iran’s position.

https://x.com/KenGardner11?ref...

So far the blockade per Centcom is going well and 0 ships made it through. 34 ships transited the strait in total.