Subject: Re: Jobless Claims Spike
And,
"The Federal Reserve's favorite recession indicator is flashing a danger sign.
The 10-year Treasury yield passed below that of the 3-month note in Wednesday trading. In market lingo, that's known as an "inverted yield curve," and it's had a sterling prediction record.
While there's no certainty that growth will turn negative this time around, investors worry that expected growth from an ambitious agenda under President Donald Trump may not happen.
Yield curve inversions have had a strong but not perfect forecasting history."

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/2...?