Subject: Re: '24 storm season forecast
"But I suspect the risk factors cited in the report ("near-record warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, development of La Nina conditions in the Pacific, reduced Atlantic trade winds and less wind shear, all of which tend to favor tropical storm formation") have been pretty well known for a while, and so I am optimistic that the rates Berkshire obtains for this coverage are commensurate with the risk"

https://yaleclimateconnections...

I don't believe they are "near records" unfortunately. We are off the charts right now and I don't think that naive usage of existing models is going to be a work out well. I suspect Berkshire has some great minds looking at the problem. I've never seen anything like this year, I thought I'd be dead before the climate started changing like this.