Subject: Re: Presidential Cycle - an observation
One more thing:
historical returns for 3rd Year Presidential cycle very interesting... The last down year (-3%) was 1939. 24 of the 29 third years were up...
Source: http://datahelper.com/mi/searc...

I don't see that as significant as over time indices go up - - - but it leads to an idea for a more interesting test: In how many out of those 29 was the 1st year as "predicted" (hey, that's in Apostrophs!) actually going DOWN?